Monday, August 12, 2013

2013 Cincinnati Bengals and Carolina Panthers

Continuing my blog analyzing 2 teams per day, alphabetically one from the AFC and one from the NFC.
I comprised my list of eligible players for the NFL draft and gave them statistical values based on other pro scouts and guru's, like Mike Mayock, Gil Brandt, and Todd McShay.  I also factored in things such as awards won, All-American Team status, etc., and used that value to have a better understanding of how good a player is, a consensus if you will.

For the ratings a team receives I will be using helmets instead of stars and they mean the following:
5 Helmets: Definate Playoff team/SuperBowl contender
4 Helmets: High Playoff probability
3 Helmets: Playoffs aren't entirely out of question
2 Helmets: Slim to no playoff hope
1 Helmet:  This team is now on the clock for the 2014 NFL Draft.

For Baltimore and Arizona, click here.
For Buffalo and Atlanta, click here.

Cincinnati Bengals

 2012 Review:
Record: 10-6-0, Finished 1st in AFC North Division 
Scored 391 points (24.4/g), 12th of 32 in the NFL.
 Allowed 320 points (20.0/g), 8th.
 Differential of 71 points (4.4/g), 10th.

Takeaway/Giveaway Differential +4 (0.2/g), 11th.

2012 Coaching Staff:
Coached by Marvin Lewis

 Offensive Coordinator: Jay Gruden
 Defensive Coordinator: Mike Zimmer
 Other Notable Asst.: Hue Jackson (Secondary)

2012 Draft:
Round Selection Player Position College
1 17[a] Dre Kirkpatrick CB Alabama
27[b] Kevin Zeitler G Wisconsin
2 53 Devon Still DT Penn State
3 83 Mohamed Sanu WR Rutgers
93 Brandon Thompson DT Clemson
4 116 Orson Charles TE Georgia
5 156 Shaun Prater CB Iowa
166[c] Marvin Jones WR California
167[d] George Iloka S Boise State
6 191 Dan Herron RB Ohio State
^[a] The team acquired this first-round selection and a conditional 2013 second-round selection in trade that sent quarterback Carson Palmer to the Oakland Raiders.
^[b] From Saints through the Patriots.
^[c] The team acquired this fifth-round selection and a 2013 sixth-round selection in a trade that sent wide receiver Chad Ochocinco to the New England Patriots.
^[d] The team acquired this fifth-round selection in a trade that sent linebacker Keith Rivers to the New York Giants.[2]
The team also traded its seventh-round selection (#228 overall) and cornerback David Jones to the Jacksonville Jaguars in exchange for safety Reggie Nelson.

2013 Outlook
2013 Coaching Staff:
Coached by Marvin Lewis

 Offensive Coordinator: Jay Gruden
 Defensive Coordinator: Mike Zimmer
 Other Notable Asst.: Hue Jackson (Running Backs)

2013 Draft with DT's Grades:
Team Overall Round Round Pick Player Position School Grade

Bengals 21 1 21 Tyler Eifert TE Notre Dame 196.08 Average= 114.08
Bengals (from Raiders (Menelik Watson)) 37 2 5 Giovani Bernard RB North Carolina 168.63
Bengals 53 2 21 Margus Hunt DE Southern Methodist 138.67
Bengals 84 3 22 Shawn Williams SS Georgia 111.37
Bengals 118 4 21 Sean Porter OLB Texas A&M 117.46
Bengals 156 5 23 Tanner Hawkinson OT Kansas 72.14
Bengals 190 6 22 Rex Burkhead RB Nebraska 65.64
Bengals (from Patriots) 197 6 29 Cobi Hamilton WR Arkansas 106.63
Bengals (Compensatory Selection) 240 7 34 Reid Fragel OT Ohio State 90.46
Bengals (Compensatory Selection) 251 7 45 T.J. Johnson C South Carolina 73.73

2013 Undrafted Rookies:
Indiana DT Larry Black Jr.; Stanford CB Terrence Brown; New Mexico-Highlands OLB Jordan Campbell; NW Missouri State DE Travis Chappelear; Central Oklahoma LS Bryce Davis, Southern Illinois OLB Jayson Dimanche; Kentucky DE DeQuin Evans; Eastern Kentucky WR Tyrone Goard; Indiana State WR Justin Hilton; Arkansas State LB Brandon Joiner; Arizona State OT Dan Knapp; Auburn RB Onterio McCalebb; Michigan WR Roy Roundtree; Oklahoma State PK-P Quinn Sharp; Minnesota CB Troy Stoudermire; Auburn OL John Sullen; Virginia Tech LB Bruce Taylor

DT's Draft Grade: B+

Notable Free Agents Lost:
Manny Lawson, LB, Lost to Buffalo

Notable Free Agents Acquired:
James Harrison, LB, Acquired from Pittsburgh
Alex Smith, TE, Acquired from Cleveland

What to Watch for in 2013:
My take on the Bengals is first you think of the offense, with A.J. Green, Gresham, and Dalton running that offense.  The top 3 picks for this team should all do well by the middle of the season pending injuries.  Mike Zimmer, the defensive coordinator, almost always gets the most out of his players and now he has Margus Hunt on the defensive line to play with next to Geno Atkins and company.  My player to watch in specific is Giovani Bernard, the rookie running back.  Bernard is a slasher, someone who can cut mid stride and make people miss.  He's dynamic and should do well in this system if he can stay healthy.

Bernard making a cut in practice.

Rating for 2013 NFL Season: 4 Helmets out of 5.  
This team will make the playoffs depending on their division, someone has to make it someone has to sit it out.

Carolina Panthers

2012 Record: 7-9-0, Finished 2nd in NFC South Division 
Scored 357 points (22.3/g), 18th of 32 in the NFL.
Allowed 363 points (22.7/g), 18th.
Differential of -6 points (-0.4/g), 18th.

Takeaway/Giveaway Differential +1 (0.1/g), 16th.

Coached by Ron Rivera

 Offensive Coordinator: Rob Chudzinski
 Defensive Coordinator: Sean McDermott

2012 Draft Review:

The Panthers did not have a 3rd round selection.[a]
Round Selection Player Position College
1 9[b] Luke Kuechly LB Boston College
2 42[c] Amini Silatolu G Midwestern State
4 103[d] Frank Alexander DE Oklahoma
104 Joe Adams WR Arkansas
5 143 Josh Norman CB Coastal Carolina
6 207[e] Brad Nortman P Wisconsin
7 216 D.J. Campbell S California
^[a] The team traded its third-round selection to the Chicago Bears in exchange for TE Greg Olsen.
^[b] The Panthers finished with the same record and strength of schedule as the Miami Dolphins. This selection is the 9th, based on a coin toss at the NFL Scouting Combine won by Miami in March.
^[c] The Panthers finished with the same record and strength of schedule as the Miami Dolphins. This selection is the 40th, based on a coin toss at the NFL Scouting Combine in March won by the Miami Dolphins.
^[d] The team traded its sixth-round selection (#180) and their third-round selection in 2013 to the San Francisco 49ers in exchange for their fourth-round selection (#103).
^{e } The Panthers received one compensatory pick for the 207 pick overall.
Exact numbers of the selections from rounds 4–7 will be determined after compensatory selections are awarded at the NFL owners' meetings in late March.[5]
Coached by Ron Rivera

 Offensive Coordinator: Mike Shula
 Defensive Coordinator: Sean McDermott 
2013 Draft with DT's Grades:
Team Overall Round Round Pick Player Position School Grade

Panthers 14 1 14 Star Lotulelei DE Utah 217.07 Average= 120.60
Panthers 44 2 12 Kawann Short DT Purdue 143.22
Panthers 108 4 11 Edmond Kugbila OG Valdosta State 53.16
Panthers 148 5 15 A.J. Klein ILB Iowa State 88.75
Panthers 182 6 14 Kenjon Barner RB Oregon 100.79

2013 Undrafted Rookies:
San Jose State WR Michael Avila; Wofford FB Eric Breitenstein; Louisiana Tech QB Colby Cameron; Rice TE Taylor Cook; Sam Houston State WR Trey Diller; USC DE/OLB Wes Horton; William & Mary DL Bryan Jean-Pierre; South Carolina LB Damario Jeffery; East Carolina OG Robert Jones; Colorado State P Pete Kontodiakos; Alabama S Robert Lester; Abilene Christian K Morgan Lineberry; Jacksonville State G Tori Mobley; Georgia Tech LS Tyler Morgan; Wheaton OT Jesse Peterson; Michigan DE Craig Roh; Louisiana Lafayette CB Melvin White; Penn State FB Michael Zordich

DT's Draft Grade: A-

Notable Free Agents Lost:
Chris Gamble, CB, Free Agent
Louis Murphy, WR, Lost to NY Giants

Notable Free Agent Acquisitions:
Domenik Hixon, WR from NY Giants
Chase Blackburn, LB from NY Giants

What to Watch For:
The Carolina Panthers are very young across the board except for at wide receiver where Steve Smith
seems to defy time and still produces with prime numbers.  The team had a very solid draft with the few picks that they did have.  I was expecting more trading on draft day moving the team down the board to pick up a few extra picks, but that was not the case.  Carolina stuck with the picks they had and were content to get solid players with them.  Star Lotulelei should be a very good player for this team and will help Luke Kuechly out on that defense, he could be the star they need to get over the hump, pun intended.  If Cam Newton improves his accuracy just a bit and makes slightly better decisions this team could be playoff bound as a Wildcard team.

Rating for 2013 NFL Season: 3 Helmets out of 5.  

Review of 6 teams Previewed thus far by Draft Grades:

Overall Team Average Div. 2 Grade
6 Cardinals 61.81 A-
9 Panthers 60.30 A-
11 Bengals 57.04 B+
13 Bills 55.16 B+
18 Ravens 52.78 B
25 Falcons 49.04 C+

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